Top Ten Realistic Free Agent Targets for Green Bay Packers
By Brian E Murphy, PackersInsider.com senior editor
~Since Ted Thompson brought in Dom Capers to run the Packers defense in 2009, the Packers have invested 13 picks on defense in the top-five rounds of the five drafts.
Seven of the players have been first or second round picks, premium picks.
Here is a look at the players selected on defense in these five drafts since Capers was hired:
- 1st Rounders: B.J Raji, Clay Matthews, Nick Perry, Datone Jones
- 2nd Rounders: Jerel Worthy, Casey Hayward, Mike Neal
- 3rd Rounders: Morgan Burnett
- 4th Rounders: Mike Daniels, Jerron McMillian, Davon House
- 5th Rounders: Terrell Manning, Josh Boyd
This is 13 defensive guys in the last 5 drafts, top-5 round picks.
I only stopped at round five, the round Seattle plucked Richard Sherman in that 2011 draft, after Thompson selected his own CB, Davon House a few picks earlier.
The other two main guys on defense over this time have been the two former Buckeyes, A.J. Hawk, the 2006 number-5 overall pick, and Ryan Pickett, the rare free agent addition who was once a first round pick of the Rams.
What Dom Capers needs, besides more talent, are guys who are smart and experienced enough to understand the intricacies of the schemes he runs.
Giving him rookie reaches like McMillian, M.D. Jennings out there puts a tremendous strain on the defense. That back end has to hold up.
The same is true at linebacker and defensive line. Datone Jones, Mike Neal, Jerel Worthy, Nick Perry didn’t provide much their first year or two, despite being very talented. In time, who knows.
But what about now?
Is there another way where Capers could be provided a talent upgrade in a manner where the player doesn’t need to learn the first part of the alphabet in the NFL? Like, possibly, a veteran?
Why, sure there is. That’s called Free Agency, or even the trade wire. And that’s how Super Bowl teams Seattle and Denver have recently added: Cliff Avril, Michael Bennett, Marshawn Lynch, Percy Harvin, Sidney Rice for the Seahawks, and Peyton Manning, Wes Welker, Trindon Holliday, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, Shaun Phillips, Quenton Jammer, and Terrance Knighton (6-3, 335 pounds, does way more than Raji despite similar size).
San Francisco was just eliminated by Seattle, but the 49ers had Anquan Boldin, Ahmad Brooks, Justin Smith, Carlos Rogers, and Donte Whitner among their starters who were all obtained as veteran additions either in free agency or trade.
Thompson, since the 2006 Woodson and Pickett additions, and 2007 Ryan Grant trade, has not added anyone of significance to this roster other than as draftees or street pickups.
That really should chance over the upcoming few months. This defense doesn’t need a complete overhaul. It just needs a fine-tuning, and adding a veteran safety would be the first order of business.
Lucky for the Packers, there are a few available who won’t come close to breaking the bank. They won’t even come close to making what the Packers are forking over to Burnett.
The top target should be Super Bowl champion Bernard “Weekend at Bernies” Pollard. He made $1.9 million this season with the Titans. He quickly learned the Tennessee defense this year after leaving Baltimore after they won the Super Bowl last year and had to clear cap space to overpay Joe Flacco. They lost Ed Reed, Boldin, Ellerbe, and Pollard due to financial considerations.
Thompson should have brought Pollard in last off-season, but he banked on the draft & develop thing with his draft pick Jerron McMillian and his youngster M.D. Jennings improving, as well as Burnett developing. That proved very costly as all can see now.
The Packers also could use more pass rush at OLB, for various reasons. Number one, nobody has stepped up and claimed that opposite-to-Clay spot at LOLB yet. Perry has the tools, but is less durable than a Chinese knockoff product. Mike Neal showed some signs, but he’s a free agent.
Number two, Matthews himself has not been able to last a full season recently. So depth is welcome.
O’Brien Schofield and/or Everson Griffen would both be great additions and again are affordable. OBS would be very cheap, while Griffen might take about a 4-year $17 million dollar deal, but he’s a stud.
If the Packers would be able to add a piece at each position there, they would immediately become a better defense.
But beyond that, it would free up Thompson in the draft to draft the best player available and not have to just pick a safety for sake of filling that black hole back there.
If he sees a wide receiver, or tight end, or defensive end, or inside linebacker who he feels is a #10 guy on his board but is still there at #21 when his pick is up, he can swing for that premium talent without worrying about that safety hole, or lack of pass rush.
Or if it’s a young safety, he can still take that safety. He just won’t have to play right away in Capers system and he can learn and develop for a while without being relied on to instantly start despite not knowing what they’re doing out there (see Jerron McMillian).
Here are the TOP TEN free agents I would try and target. I would really want to make sure to get a safety and a linebacker, or even help on the defensive line. I believe there are a couple of guys the Packers could sign combined for less than what Raji wants, who will each out-perform Raji.
The Packers could use an inside linebacker more than an outside linebacker in my opinion. But the talent available -at a reasonable price- appears to be quite attractive at outside linebacker.
You might notice the absence of Brian Orakpo, Jimmy Graham, and Jairus Byrd, the safety from the Buffalo Bills. Yes, they might be better overall players. But let’s be realistic here. Thompson is not going to pay any Maserati prices for free agents. Ever, and especially not this year when he has over a dozen of his own free agents he’d like to retain.
Here is my top ten list, with my estimated expected amount of money it will take to win the players’ services. The amount of $ factors heavily in my rankings. It’s not just best players 1-10.
- Bernard Pollard, Safety, Tennessee Titans $$
- Everson Griffin, Outside Linebacker, Minnesota Vikings $$$
- Donte Whitner, Safety, San Francisco 49ers $$$
- O’Brien Schofield, Outside Linebacker, Seattle Seahawks $
- T.J. Ward, Safety, Cleveland Browns $$$$
- Jason Worilds, Outside Linebacker, Pittsburgh Steelers $$$
- Paul Soliai, NT/DT, Miami Dolphins $
- Malcolm Jenkins, Safety, New Orleans Saints $$$
- Donald Butler, Inside Linebacker, San Diego Chargers $$$$
- Terrence Cody, NT/DT, Baltimore Ravens $
I bolded above what I would do with that small 4$ amount of money. That scenario would give the Packers boost at all three levels of defense.
I really like Schofield.
But I really love Griffen. I’d be tempted to sacrifice the DL help and spend a bit more, perhaps, to just come away with two guys in Griffen and Pollard.
I think Griffen is good enough he could match Matthews in sacks, depending on the blocking matchups.